Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalisation, has been experiencing a remarkable rally in recent weeks, climbing from $2,400 to its current level of $3,700. This impressive surge has reignited optimism among traders and investors, with analysts speculating that ETH could be on the brink of even greater gains.
According to a prominent analyst operating under the pseudonym VentureFounder, Ethereum could rally by as much as 97%, potentially reaching $7,300 if it successfully breaks through the critical $3,800 resistance level. However, this optimistic outlook is tempered by concerns surrounding long-term holder (LTH) behaviour and market volatility, which could hinder Ethereum’s progress.
VentureFounder highlights that Ethereum is currently forming a classic “cup and handle” pattern, a widely recognised bullish signal in technical analysis. This formation suggests a potential price breakout if ETH overcomes the $3,800 resistance barrier. Should this occur, the next target could be $7,300, representing a nearly 100% increase from its present price.
The cup and handle pattern signifies a period of consolidation followed by a potential breakout. However, for this bullish scenario to materialise, Ethereum must not only breach the resistance but also sustain its upward momentum by building strong support above this critical level.
While this pattern bolsters hopes for a significant rally, it is important to note that the breakout has yet to be confirmed. Traders and investors will be closely monitoring Ethereum’s performance in the coming days to identify any signs of a sustained upward trajectory.
A critical factor influencing Ethereum’s price trajectory is the behaviour of long-term holders, as tracked by the Liveliness indicator. This metric measures whether long-term investors are accumulating or selling their holdings.
Recent data suggests that an increase in Liveliness could indicate heightened selling pressure from LTHs. This scenario could weaken Ethereum’s bullish momentum and result in a price correction. On the other hand, declining Liveliness signals that long-term holders are retaining or increasing their positions, reinforcing a more optimistic outlook for the cryptocurrency.
At present, analysts are concerned about the rising Liveliness, which could suggest potential sell-offs by long-term investors. Such activity may disrupt Ethereum’s upward momentum and delay the anticipated rally. Consequently, monitoring LTH behaviour remains a key priority for market participants.
Currently trading around $3,700, Ethereum is inching closer to the pivotal $3,800 resistance level. Breaking above this threshold could pave the way for a surge toward $7,300, as suggested by the cup and handle formation. However, failing to breach this level could see Ethereum retrace its steps, with a potential fallback to the $3,300 range.
This year, Ethereum has witnessed increased interest from retail and institutional investors alike, making a successful breakout even more critical for sustaining market confidence. Establishing firm support above $3,800 is essential for ETH to achieve new all-time highs and attract further investment.
While Ethereum’s technical patterns suggest substantial upside potential, the broader market environment remains uncertain. Macroeconomic factors, regulatory developments, and overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency space could all influence ETH’s trajectory. Analysts advise traders to remain cautious and conduct thorough research before making investment decisions.
Ethereum’s recent rally has reignited enthusiasm among cryptocurrency enthusiasts, with analysts projecting significant gains if the cryptocurrency can overcome key resistance levels. However, challenges such as long-term holder behaviour and market volatility remain important considerations.
The next few weeks will be pivotal for Ethereum as it approaches the critical $3,800 threshold. Whether ETH can successfully break out and sustain its rally will depend on a combination of technical, fundamental, and market-driven factors.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or investment advice. Readers are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with financial professionals before making any decisions.